Fresh Produce Discussion Blog

Created by The Packer's National Editor Tom Karst

Thursday, December 27, 2007

More food trends for 2008

We've already noted an AP story on food trends for 2008, and now this article also presents fearless predictions about food for 2008. This time the prognosticator is Phil Lempert, Today Show contributor and self-proclaimed supermarket guru. On to Phil's predictions:

1. It's all about the garbage. "2008 will clearly be driven by the headlines that measure garbage."

2. Where did this product come from? "Tesco’s Fresh & Easy stores now open in California, Nevada and Arizona will no doubt force the industry to install similar systems that will enable the retailer in seconds to track an individual product’s path from farm to table with all the details necessary to determine a product’s safety. "
"...I can only hope that by the time you read this a few wise people in Washington, D.C., have woken up and made Country of Origin Labeling a reality, finally. "

3. It's how much?"I am not suggesting that food companies run out and increase their prices. What I am suggesting is that the drive to have the “cheapest food supply on earth” is old-school and needs to be forgotten.
We need to shift our resources, and produce foods and ingredients where we can ensure the proper nutrients and safety procedures are in place — hopefully that occurs on American soil."


4. The aging of America..again. "The 76 million baby boomers start turning 65 years old in 2010, and while the impact of this generation turning 50 drew lots of attention but little impact, this time it will be different."

5. Relationships. "It’s all about relationships: relationships with our farmers, our suppliers, our peers, our associates and most importantly ... the relationships with our fellow shoppers."


TK: In my view, Phil overestimates the sensitivity of consumers toward garbage. At least in the Midwest, this sensitivity will not be the dominant food trend. Yet there does exist a strong ethic about garbage and recycling in some parts of the country. My son, in the Portland area, told the story of when he had put an empty soup can in the garbage. A new roommate fetched the soup can from the trash, peeled off the label and put paper and can into their respective recycling bins. Yes, some people care that much - but not all of us.
And for Phil to suggest Americans will be less price conscious now, at the doorstep of a recession, is also off base. Phil is on target about the movement toward traceability in the food industry. But will baby boomers suddenly become more health conscious? I'm afraid some of us will be clutching a McDonald's double cheeseburger when the Big One comes.

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