Fresh Produce Discussion Blog

Created by The Packer's National Editor Tom Karst

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

From bad to worse?

A few headlines about consumer confidence and the wild ride on Wall Street...

Investors succumb to fears of recession
- From the WSJ
Some small investors who had been hoping to ride out the storm have begun selling. That could mark the beginning of a process known as "capitulation," market lingo for the moment when a critical mass of investors give up on hopes of recouping losses, and instead sell. It is during capitulation that a selloff starts to run its course, and prices begin to feel for the bottom.

A lengthy recession
From the Globe and Mail

And in the United States, the U.S. Federal Reserve Board opened up its credit spigot, authorizing $900-billion in loans to troubled banks, many of which have virtually stopped lending to consumers, businesses and each other.

Consumer confidence: key recession signal From Time magazine

Thus, the spectacle of Monday's roller-coaster ride on Wall Street may be just one more push toward the point when Americans start to pocket their wallets and thus slow down the economy drastically. When the stock market crashed in 1987, for example, consumer confidence fell but then quickly recovered, helping the U.S. to dodge a possible recession. It was different in 1991, when rising oil prices added to emerging consumer worries and thus stalled the U.S. economy.

A 1987-type situation could happen now — though there are few signs of hope on the horizon for solutions to alleviate the effects of the market crash.


U.S. labor market worsens

From the Financial Post

Nonfarm payrolls fell for a ninth straight month in September, down a worse than expected 159,000 following a downwardly revised 73,000 drop in August, Bureau of Labour Statistics figures showed Friday. It was the sharpest drop in employment this year and took total job losses for 2008 to 760,000. Private sector workers were hit particularly hard, with 35,000 construction jobs and 51,000 manufacturing jobs lost in the month. The unemployment rate remained at 6.1% following the sharp rise in August, however, it has risen substantially since January when it stood at just 4.9%

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