Optimism O-Meter running low

I asked a Washington lobbyist today how optimistic she was about the farm bill. How is the Optimism-O-Meter running?

Right now the needle is wavering and dipping down to the red zone. There are only so many ways to give a "farm bill update" - truly an oxymoronic expression in recent weeks. I wish Las Vegas odds makers had a book on the chance of the farm bill passing. Then perhaps we could get a realistic perspective on where the process stands. Agriculture Secretary Ed Schafer is nothing but "optimistic" about passing a new farm bill. The same goes with Sen. Tom Harkin, also doggedly upbeat.

But will we have a bill, or close to it, by April 18?

Will offsets be found that everyone can agree on ?

What types of new reforms will be necessary for farm bill passage?

Will specialty crops and nutrition receive their fair share?

Will the White House demand a two year extension if Congress can't come to grips with a solution?