Mexico fresh deciduous

Here is the link to the USDA FAS annual report about the fresh deciduous outlook in Mexico. the 16-page pdf provides a complete breakdown of the apple, pear and table grape outlook in Mexico. Some excerpts about import prospects:

On the apple trade:

The forecast for apple imports for MY 2007/08 is estimated at 200,000 MT, a small increase over MY 2006/07 due to expected lower production in the United States and a decrease in imports. However, more than 80 percent of imports are expected to be of U.S. origin. MY 2005/06 and 2006/07 import estimates were revised upward due to higher demand than previously estimated. However, the dumping duties imposed on U.S. Red and Golden Delicious apples continue to slow imports; nevertheless imports continue to supply the market due to strong demand.

On pears:

Pear imports for MY 2007/08 are forecast at 87,000 MT due to an expected high demand. Pear import estimates for MY 2006/07 were revised upward to 85,106 MT due to a healthy demand despite higher consumer prices. Pear import estimates for MY 2005/06 were revised upward based on trade data. Seventy percent or more of demand has been met by imported product mainly from the U.S.

On grapes:

Table grape imports for MY 2008/07 are forecast at 80,000 MT, almost a five percent increase from MY 2006/07, due to increased demand. Table grape imports for MY 2006/07 were revised downward due to decreased demand for imported grapes at higher prices. Table grape imports for MY 2005/06 were revised upward to reflect higher demand than expected. U.S. and Chilean imports have a zero duty and both countries continue to increase exports to the Mexican market. According to traders, U.S. promotional efforts to export table grape varieties to Mexico, other than Red Globe or Thompson, are resulting in increased sales. U.S. table grapes can only be imported from California due to Mexico’s phytosanitary
restrictions on table grapes from other U.S. states.