Fresh Produce Discussion Blog

Created by The Packer's National Editor Tom Karst

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

The corn question

After all the corn is planted, will there be enough land for potatoes, beans and onions? That's the half-serious question that some economists are pondering. Booming ethanol demand is having a widespread impact on producer decisions; Friday's USDA's prospective plantings report will show a big increase in corn acreage - from about 75 million acres to as much as 90 million acres - and those acres will have to come from some place. Wheat and soybean prices are also quite high, so taking acreage from those crops is not a given.

One economist I spoke with said potato acreage may still expand slightly - perhaps two percent - but growers should receive fairly good prices next year.

The spike in ethanol demand and corn production may have unintended consequences, including higher food prices and a wage-price spiral, the economist speculated.

"We may even get a depression out of it, who knows?" he said cheerily.

On the bright side, potato growers may have another good year.

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